Cuarto Distrito vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CUA
0 - 2
PUT
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CIE
0 - 1
CUA
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CUA
6 - 0
PIN
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 3
CUA
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CUA
4 - 1
ARC
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PIN
2 - 2
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 3
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ARC
4 - 3
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 4
ALB
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |