Cuarto Distrito vs Emf Cotillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MIN
4 - 1
CUA
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CUA
0 - 1
YEC
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BUL
2 - 4
CUA
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CUA
0 - 0
LUM
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
POZ
4 - 2
CUA
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Emf Cotillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COT
1 - 0
MUL
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CEU
1 - 1
COT
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
COT
0 - 2
AGU
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 0
COT
58%
22%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
COT
3 - 0
LOR
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |