Cuarto Distrito vs Ed Javalí-Ñora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
EGP
1 - 0
CUA
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CUA
0 - 0
COT
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MIN
4 - 1
CUA
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CUA
0 - 1
YEC
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BUL
2 - 4
CUA
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Ed Javalí-Ñora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MUL
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 1
AGU
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CEU
3 - 2
ZAR
60%
21%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
ZAR
76%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 0
LOR
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |