Cuarto Distrito vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BAL
8 - 0
CUA
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 2
PIN
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 2
CAR
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 1
CUA
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 56 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 2
CCS
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 0
CIE
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 0
CCS
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CPE
1 - 1
CIE
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 0
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |