Cuarto Distrito vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MOL
2 - 3
CUA
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CUA
2 - 1
CEU
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MIN
0 - 1
CUA
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 0
LOR
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CUA
69%
18%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ABA
5 - 0
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BUL
3 - 1
ABA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LAH
1 - 2
ABA
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
PUT
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |