Cuarto Distrito vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
JAV
0 - 0
CUA
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 0
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 2
MOL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CEU
2 - 1
CUA
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 1
CIE
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PIN
2 - 4
ABA
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ABA
0 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
0 - 1
ABA
49%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
ABA
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |