Quart Poblet vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart Poblet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
2 - 0
QUA
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
QUA
3 - 2
UDC
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CDT
1 - 2
QUA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
OLI
5 - 0
QUA
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
QUA
2 - 2
PIC
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
EMF
2 - 1
ALB
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 0
BEN
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
UDC
0 - 1
ALB
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PAT
2 - 2
ALB
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 0
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |