BOL vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
16º
15º
46
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HED
3 - 0
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 2
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
SWI
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUI
4 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PUR
2 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HED
0 - 2
PUR
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUR
3 - 0
HOO
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 4
PUR
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUR
1 - 1
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |