BOL vs NSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
1º
37
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
5 - 2
ARG
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 0
BOL
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 3
ZUI
36%
22%
43%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NUN
0 - 1
BOL
41%
22%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
DEM
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
NSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NSC
3 - 1
SDC
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NSC
3 - 2
HBO
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZUI
11 - 1
NSC
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NSC
3 - 0
NUN
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
NSC
45%
21%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |