BOL vs De Meern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+170%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
1º
35
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HBO
0 - 1
BOL
20%
19%
61%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FCD
0 - 1
BOL
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 3
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ZOB
1 - 4
BOL
42%
22%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 3
ROD
46%
21%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
De Meern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
3 - 0
SDC
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZUI
3 - 3
DEM
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 4
NUN
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
3 - 1
HBO
48%
20%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 2
DEM
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |