BOL vs Hoogland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
16º
15º
38
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 2
PUR
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HED
3 - 0
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 2
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 0
SWI
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 2
JOS
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUR
3 - 0
HOO
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 3
SVH
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 1
HOL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HED
1 - 2
HOO
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |