BOL vs HBOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
1º
26
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
4 - 1
BOL
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
VVM
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZOB
0 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 5
NOO
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 5
BOL
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
HBOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HBO
1 - 0
SDC
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZUI
3 - 2
HBO
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HBO
4 - 1
GHC
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +4 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPO
5 - 4
HBO
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DEL
3 - 4
HBO
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |