BOL vs De Bilt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
1º
33
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ROD
0 - 1
BOL
41%
21%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
VVM
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 1
BOL
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
NSC
52%
20%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
5 - 2
ARG
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCD
1 - 0
SDC
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ZUI
2 - 0
FCD
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCD
3 - 1
NUN
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 2
FCD
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCD
5 - 2
HBO
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |