BOL vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
59.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 2
AFC
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HUI
3 - 0
BOL
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
ROD
32%
21%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
5 - 1
BOL
58%
19%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DHS
1 - 1
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 0
ZWA
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CSW
1 - 1
ARC
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 2
ARG
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ROD
5 - 2
ARC
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
7 - 1
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |