CSP vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AUT
1 - 2
CSP
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
CSP
1 - 1
CAM
22%
27%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
CSP
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CSP
2 - 0
PAR
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 0
ATL
66%
22%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAM
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 0
PAR
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |