CSP vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CSP
0 - 3
CAM
40%
24%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 3
CSP
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CSP
5 - 0
ECP
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
TRE
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TRE
3 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
TRE
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
3 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |