CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
64.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSP
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
CSP
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
CSP
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CSP
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 2
CSP
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
SER
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 0
SOU
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SOU
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |