CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CSP
2 - 1
AUT
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CSP
1 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
CSP
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CSP
1 - 1
BOT
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
CSP
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
DPB
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 2
SOU
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
CSP
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |