CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
CSP
21%
22%
56%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CSP
1 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 0
IPB
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
CSP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 2
CSP
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
IPB
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
AUT
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
SOU
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 0
SOU
51%
26%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
BOT
18%
24%
57%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |