CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
0 - 2
CSP
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CSP
66%
19%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
CSP
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 2
CSP
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
CSP
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 1
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 2
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |