CSP vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 3
CSP
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DPB
1 - 1
CSP
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
MIR
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BOT
4 - 2
SOU
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |