CSP vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
CSP
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 3
CSP
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
3 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
2 - 1
DPB
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CSP
3 - 2
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 2
MIR
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
MIR
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
5 - 1
MIR
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 53 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 6
SOU
18%
22%
61%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
DPB
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +3 |