CSP vs Serrano PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TRE
3 - 0
CSP
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 1
AUT
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
CSP
0 - 2
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
CSP
21%
22%
56%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
1 - 0
SPB
55%
22%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPB
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 1
SPB
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |