CSP vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ECP
1 - 4
CSP
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSP
1 - 0
AUT
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CSP
1 - 0
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CSP
2 - 1
FLA
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
4 - 1
CSP
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
AUT
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAM
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRE
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 3
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |