Paraibano Semi-finals
Global 3-5
CSP vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 3
CSP
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CSP
5 - 0
ECP
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSP
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 3
CSP
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CSP
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 4
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DPB
3 - 0
CAM
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |