CSP vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
75.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SCL
1 - 0
CSP
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 0
PER
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 4
ATL
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
TRE
2 - 1
CSP
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
CSP
0 - 2
BOT
10%
21%
69%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
9%
19%
72%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
BOT
10%
19%
72%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CON
68%
18%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |