CSM Satu Mare vs Lotus Baile Felix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
4º
2º
27
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 3
SMA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OSM
3 - 3
CSM
6%
12%
82%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
4 - 1
MBM
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SNT
0 - 1
CSM
28%
20%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CSM
2 - 1
CSC
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Lotus Baile Felix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAI
1 - 0
OSM
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
MBM
1 - 1
BAI
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BAI
3 - 1
SNT
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 1
BAI
10%
16%
74%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BAI
0 - 2
ZAL
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |