CSM Satu Mare vs Lotus Baile Felix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
2º
27
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Satu Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CSM
42%
21%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSM
4 - 3
BIH
12%
20%
67%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
CSM
26%
21%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 0
CSM
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CSM
2 - 0
CFR
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lotus Baile Felix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BAI
2 - 2
BIS
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFR
1 - 1
BAI
22%
21%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BAI
1 - 1
SIM
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAI
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAI
2 - 1
VIC
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |