CSM Bacău vs Gloria Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
2º
17
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
CSM
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TII
0 - 1
CSM
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 0
ACS
61%
21%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
CSM
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 0
AER
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gloria Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
TII
36%
22%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 0
RAP
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 2
VAS
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
AER
3 - 1
RAP
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
ACS
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |