CSM Bacău vs Bucovina Rădăuţi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
3º
25
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TII
4 - 0
CSM
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AER
1 - 3
CSM
26%
26%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AER
1 - 1
CSM
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 1
ACS
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
CSM
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bucovina Rădăuţi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
SGH
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
BUC
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 2
BUC
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
FOC
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
FOC
2 - 0
BUC
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |