Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-2
CSKA Sofia vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 0
BVR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
OSI
1 - 0
CSK
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SSO
1 - 2
CSK
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 0
OSI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 3
CVA
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZOR
1 - 1
SKD
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
ZOR
1 - 0
BUD
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
VOR
0 - 1
ZOR
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZOR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ZOR
3 - 1
ILL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |