Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 1-1
CSKA Sofia vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
CSK
0 - 0
BER
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
CSK
3 - 2
BRU
35%
25%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CSK
1 - 1
LPL
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CSK
2 - 0
LOV
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SHK
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
SHK
2 - 1
ZIM
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
ZIM
1 - 1
SHF
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SHF
1 - 3
ZIM
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SPE
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |