CSKA Sofia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BVR
1 - 1
CSK
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
CSK
1 - 2
LSO
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 2
CSK
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
CSK
0 - 0
LPL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
BER
0 - 2
CSK
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 1
FCB
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
VCF
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VCF
4 - 2
BET
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
RSO
1 - 1
VCF
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |