Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 11-2
CSKA Sofia vs Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NEF
0 - 3
CSK
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CSK
3 - 0
LSO
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 3
CSK
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
CSK
0 - 0
LOV
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
LOV
3 - 2
CSK
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NIS
1 - 0
TIR
43%
27%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 3
CSK
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
TIR
3 - 2
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
ZIM
1 - 1
TIR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
TIR
0 - 1
TIT
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |