Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 5-2
CSKA Sofia vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VID
2 - 2
CSK
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 2
CHB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 2
CSK
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
0 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
CSK
3 - 0
CLI
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 2
PRE
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
AND
3 - 0
TNS
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 3
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
TNS
4 - 0
BOH
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
BOH
1 - 0
TNS
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |