CSKA Sofia vs Swarovski Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
CSK
3 - 3
LSO
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
LPL
2 - 1
CSK
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
SWA
3 - 0
CSK
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
ETA
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
DIM
1 - 1
CSK
26%
29%
45%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
VIE
3 - 1
SWA
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
SWA
3 - 2
WIE
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
SWA
3 - 0
CSK
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1986 |
WIE
1 - 1
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
2 - 0
SWA
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |