Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 1-3
CSKA Sofia vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 2
CSK
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
STB
2 - 0
CSK
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 0
CHB
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 2
CSK
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 3
CSK
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AST
2 - 1
STB
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
STB
2 - 0
CSK
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
STB
2 - 1
UCL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
STB
4 - 0
MIO
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOI
1 - 1
STB
23%
30%
47%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |