CSKA Sofia vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
5 - 1
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
MAK
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
CVA
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 0
CSK
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
STP
2 - 3
WAT
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
NSM
0 - 0
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
NSM
34%
25%
42%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
STP
3 - 0
DRO
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |