CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
6º
4º
1
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 21 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 20 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 18 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 18 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 18 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 16 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 15 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 14 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 13 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
11º
|
3.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 13 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 12 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 12 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 11 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
41% | 11.5% |
|
Next round
|
31% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CSK
3 - 1
RAD
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
OLI
3 - 0
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 1
HKS
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
CSK
0 - 0
HKR
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
SVA
0 - 0
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SVA
2 - 0
SEP
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
DOB
2 - 1
SVA
42%
24%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
BER
3 - 1
SVA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SVA
2 - 1
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |