CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
1º
1º
51
4º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 7 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 3 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
CSK
3 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BER
0 - 3
CSK
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SVA
0 - 1
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 1
CVA
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FLK
1 - 0
CSK
23%
28%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SVA
1 - 2
BER
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 2
SVA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SVA
0 - 1
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 1
SVA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SVA
1 - 0
FLK
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |