CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SPS
1 - 2
CSK
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 2
CSK
95%
4%
1%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1959 |
CSK
2 - 0
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1959 |
CSK
2 - 2
FCB
15%
20%
65%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1959 |
SEP
1 - 2
CSK
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SVA
1 - 0
LSO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
FKM
2 - 0
SVA
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
SVA
0 - 2
LSO
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
SPA
1 - 1
SVA
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1959 |
SVA
3 - 1
SSO
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |