CSKA Sofia vs Montana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 2
CSK
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSK
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
LSO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SSO
0 - 2
CSK
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 1
ETA
78%
15%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 2
MON
38%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 3
LOV
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
PIR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BER
2 - 2
MON
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |