Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-1
CSKA Sofia vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 3
CVA
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
MLA
0 - 0
CSK
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 2
ETA
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
4 - 0
MLA
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
RBS
0 - 1
CSK
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
OSI
2 - 0
SLA
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
UJP
1 - 0
OSI
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
OSI
2 - 0
FCK
38%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
MAT
3 - 3
OSI
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
OSI
1 - 1
BAN
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |