CSKA Sofia vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SSO
1 - 4
CSK
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
OMO
1 - 1
CSK
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
ROD
0 - 1
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 1
LPL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NES
2 - 0
ROD
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
LPL
4 - 1
NES
85%
10%
4%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
NES
1 - 0
DOB
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
OFK
2 - 0
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
NES
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |