Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 4-0
CSKA Sofia vs Titograd Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
RBS
0 - 1
CSK
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
SHA
1 - 0
CSK
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
FTC
1 - 0
CSK
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
CSK
3 - 0
PRI
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Titograd Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
MLA
1 - 0
IKD
52%
23%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MLA
1 - 1
PET
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LOV
1 - 3
MLA
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
MLA
6 - 1
MOR
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 2
MLA
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |