Cup Bulgaria Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CSK
3 - 0
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LPL
0 - 2
CSK
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CSK
2 - 0
CHB
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CSK
0 - 2
LOV
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 1
LUD
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BVR
0 - 0
LSO
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 0
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LPL
2 - 0
LSO
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |