CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
2º
50
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
CSK
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CSK
3 - 1
BOT
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BER
1 - 4
CSK
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OFK
1 - 2
CSK
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
3 - 3
SHA
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 0
LSO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ARK
5 - 0
LPL
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LPL
0 - 0
BVR
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LPL
2 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LPL
1 - 1
OLY
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |