CSKA Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
2º
23
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 1
OFK
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 0
SEP
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 0
CSK
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 0
SSO
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 2
LSO
24%
27%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
ARK
1 - 0
HEB
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 2
BVR
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CVA
1 - 0
HEB
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
6 - 0
HEB
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |