CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
1º
2º
1º
54
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
CSK
5 - 1
BVR
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
HEB
0 - 4
CSK
17%
27%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OFK
0 - 1
CSK
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
LSO
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CVA
3 - 2
SVA
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 2
CVA
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 2
LUD
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |