CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
CSK
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CSK
0 - 0
LPL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LSO
2 - 1
CSK
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
CSK
3 - 0
PIR
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
CSK
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CVA
0 - 0
SSO
38%
28%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
CHB
1 - 0
CVA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CVA
1 - 1
BVR
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
0 - 2
CVA
32%
30%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CVA
3 - 0
LPL
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |